Buy and Sell – Week 11
Speaking of Newton and Freeman, they headline my…
WEEK 11 BUY!!!
Do your best day-trader impression and click furiously until you have the following on your roster:
It’s true, he simply hasn’t been the stud we hoped for. Maturity has been an issue and the Panthers haven’t been able to put it together at several key moments in close games. On the other side of the coin, however, Newton probably can’t get much worse. Remember, fantasy is still about talent and opportunity, and eventually the combination of the two will gel for Newton. He’s still throwing the ball over 30 times/game on average and has also averaged 7 rushing attempts per contest. That’s 37 fantasy scoring opportunities per-game. He’ll score. And with games coming up against the Bucs, Chiefs, Chargers, and Saints, he’ll score a lot.
Freeman also benefits from a nice schedule (Carolina, Atlanta, New Orleans) but also is helped by the emergence of Doug Martin. As defenses game plan more for Martin, it should open up more in the passing game. Also, with newly arrived Vincent Jackson, Dallas Clark, and the re-emergence of Mike WIlliams, Freeman has better options than he has had to this point in his young career.
An obvious name, to be sure. The last time Fred Jackson went down, Spiller became the best back in fantasy by a city mile. That’s right, a city mile. With all the traffic and stoplights, I’d say city miles are significantly longer than country miles. Actually, anyone who has ever driven in the two can attest to the veracity of my claim. So instead of waxing further philosophic about the greatness of Spiller when he receives a lot of carries (which you likely are already aware of), I’ll instead suggest that we officially change the colloquialism “by a country mile” to “by a city mile.” And whatever distance-by-time formula you’d care to apply to a city mile also applies to the amount by which Spiller was better than the next guy for the first few weeks of 2012.
The Bears should have gone more to Forte before Jay Cutler got hurt and I have to believe they know it. Now, with Cutler potentially sidelined, the Bears need to lean on Forte more than ever. I expect him to get more rushes but also he should see more checkdowns in the passing game from Jason Campbell. He also has two games coming up against Minnesota. Just saying.
Shorts has found himself in this area before and does so again, with emphasis. Shorts has two 100+ yard receiving games in his last three, but the main reason I am recommending Cecil the Diesel is that the Jaguars have one of the softest upcoming schedules in all of fantasy. If only the Jags had more productive fantasy options! Seriously, have a look. After Houston, Jacksonville has what amounts to the best possible receiver matchups available, with five of his final six matchups against bottom-10 defenses in points allowed to receivers: two with Tennessee, one with New England, one with Buffalo, and one with Miami. Sign me up.
Despite his nice week 10, you can probably still get him on the cheap, perhaps as an afterthought in a trade. And I definitely think Maclin is worth the gamble. I expect Alex Foles to get a long look with Michael Vick sidelined and if he is capable of producing at all, we may have seen the last of Vick in an Eagles uniform. Foles looked Maclin’s way early and often last week, and I certainly could see Maclin turning into his security blanket as he finds the ropes.
Remember when Philip Rivers had a number one receiver? Yeah, it was fantasy goodness. I’m not saying Danario Alexander is that immediately, but he certainly looks like one and has the potential to really help your team down the stretch. Alexander is (really) big (6’5”) and fast and if he can stay healthy, good days are ahead.
Just one this week, and it’s sort of a gut call:
Witten gets a lot of targets and, strangely, Dallas isn’t out of the NFC East picture yet. If they claw their way back into it, they do so through Romo and his favorite target: Witten.
You’ve struck paydirt, now move them before it’s too late.
All Your Pittsburgh Steelers
Last week after Ben Roethlisberger went down with what has been termed a “rare” injury, the Steelers best offensive weapon was (wait for it…) Matt Cassel. Yeah, I’m downgrading everyone.
Mike Wallace won’t be as effective if they can’t get him the ball.
Jonathan Dwyer, Rashard Mendenhall, and Isaac Redman won’t have as much room to run if opposing defenses don’t have to honor the Byron Leftwich-led passing “assault.”
Heath Miller will likely be left in to block more, as we saw last Monday night.
I suppose the main problem is, what can you get for them? Wallace found the endzone last week and should still have some trade value, but the rest? You’re likely stuck with them. It’s an unfortunate situation, and to be honest, I’d take 50 cents on the dollar for every Steeler in my lineup.
One final name here. Olsen exploded for 102 yards and two scores on nine catches. Also, the Denver Broncos are at the absolute bottom of the league in points allowed versus tight ends. See the correlation? I do.
Best of luck this week. As always you can follow me @petethegreekff on Twitter, or check out my new blog: mindofpetros.blogspot.com